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2013/06/28 (金)
15:00〜16:30
The power law for city size distributions: Does geography matter? (with Wen-Tai Hsu, Tony E. Smith)
森知也(京都大学)
京都大学経済研究所本館1階 第二共同研究室
要旨:City size distributions are known to approximately follow Zipf’s law, or more generally a common power law (CPL), across many countries. The most popular explanation for this regularity has been given by random growth models (e.g., Gabaix, 1999; Duranton, 2006, Rossi-Hanseberg and Wright, 2007), in which the power law results from the common iid growth rate of all cities. Since each subsample of cities has exactly the same properties, it also follows the same power law asymptotically without any role played by geography. The objective of the present paper is to establish counter-evidence from the US and Japan that the geography does indeed matter for CPL to hold among different regions and countries. Specifically, we show that random subsamples of cities taken from geographically connected regions are significantly more consistent with CPL than fully random subsamples. Furthermore, the sets of cities in economically meaningful regions (based on interregional trade) are even more significantly consistent with CPL. Finally, we present preliminary evidence that our finding is consistent with a class of central place models (Hsu, 2013, Akamatsu et al., 2013) in which sizes and locations of cities are determined through the spatial coordination of many industries subject to different degrees of scale economies.
2013/06/22 (土)
14:30〜17:30
ロシアの職業分類と労働市場、危機後のハンガリー経済と年金制度の動向 -比較経済体制研究会共催-
堀江典生 氏(富山大学)、柳原剛司 氏(松山大学)
経済研究所 第一共同研究室
2013/06/12 (水)
16:30〜18:00
The Effects of Commodity Price Shocks and Systematic Monetary Policy in Developed Countries
関根 篤史 (京都大学・院)
第一共同研究室 (4F北側)
2013/05/30 (木)
15:00〜17:30
Doing economics and economic policy advice in a middle income trap economy in Europe -比較経済体制研究会共催-
Karoly Fazekas氏(ハンガリー科学アカデミー)
経済研究所 第一共同研究室
2013/05/29 (水)
16:30〜18:00
Power Analysis for Factor Loading Structural Change Tests under Common Breaks
山本 庸平 (一橋大学)
第一共同研究室 (4F北側)

[Abstract]
 Factor loading structural change tests proposed by Breitung and Eickmeier (2011) exhibit nonmonotonic power when a portion of the factor loadings have structural changes occuring at common dates. To investigate this phenomenon, we develop spurious factor representations of the factor model with m common breaks. We show that, under a local alternative asymptotic framework in which the magnitudes of breaks shrink at rate max{N,T}^(1/2), the original factor space is consistently estimated and the tests have power. However, if we apply the fixed alternative asymptotic framework in which the break magnitudes are fixed, then the common breaks in the factor loadings are considered as spurious factors with time invariant loadings, hence the tests lose power. Monte Carlo simulations clearly illustrate these findings. This paper casts a new light on the well known nonmonotonic power problem in structural change testing since it now occurs by identification failure between the common factors and the factor loadings. Furthermore, none of the SupWald, the SupLR, and the SupLM structural change tests can avoid this problem.

2013/05/17 (金)
16:30〜18:00
Can urban pollution shrink rural districts? (with Tatsuya Omori)
内藤徹(徳島大学)
京都大学経済研究所本館1階 第二共同研究室
要旨:This paper presents analyses of how the externality of environmental damage affects the equilibrium properties of a simple overlapping generations model with multiple regions. Simulation results show that the government's environmental policy decreases capital accumulation. When the government imposes an environmental tax on the urban sector, such a policy decreases the urban population ratio to the rural but increases the total fertility rate.
2013/05/17 (金)
15:00〜16:30
History versus expectation revisited with small uncertainty
伊藤亮(名古屋市立大学)
京都大学経済研究所本館1階 第二共同研究室
要旨:This study considers a small parametric uncertainty of migration cost in a rational expectation two region model with increasing returns to scale and migration cost of each period increases in number of migrants. When the stochastic parameter follows a Brownian motion in continuous time with minute variance, imitative equilibrium belief in which behavior of the stochastic model approximately coincides the deterministic model, is uniquely determined dependent on given state variables; then indeterminacy of equilibria of deterministic model diminishes. However, this result critically depends on the assumption of Brownian motion and it does not hold when we suppose different stochastic process without either of two important characteristics of Brownian motion: infinite length of sample path and continuity.
2013/04/20 (土)
13:00〜17:30
藤原克美著『移行期ロシアの繊維産業』(春風社、2012年11月)を読む、EUのマクロ地域戦略:ドナウ流域のケース -比較経済体制研究会共催-
伏田寛範氏(日本国際問題研究所)、田中宏氏(立命館大学)討論者:柑本英雄氏(弘前大学)
経済研究所 第一共同研究室
2013/04/17 (水)
16:30〜18:00
Derving Information Bounds for Nonlinear Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects When Both N and T are Large
岩倉 相雄 (京都大学・院)
第一共同研究室 (4F北側)
2013/03/13 (水)
16:30〜18:00
Decomposition of Supply and Demand Shock in Production Function Using Current Survey of Production
小西 葉子 (経済産業研究所)
京都大学 総合研究2号館 4階 460室 セミナー室1
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