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2025/10/24 (金)
16:30〜18:00
Population dynamics, policy reactions, and institutional evolution in Japan, the eighth to the nineteenth centuries
中林真幸(東京大学)
京都大学経済研究所本館1階 106 会議室

【参考資料】

Masaki Nakabayashi (2025) “Legislating filial obligations: Property rights and filial piety in shogunate Japan,” Journal of Asian Economics, 98, 101923.

 

要旨:We first provide an overview of the latest estimates of Japan’s population from the eighth century to the mid-nineteenth century and confirm that Japan experienced a sharp fall in population from the ninth to the twelfth centuries and a modest decrease in the early eighteenth century. We next review institutional changes that accompanied population growth from the fourteenth century and the population stagnation in the eighteenth century, and conclude that the current stem family system in Japan, where the duty of support is mutual between parents and children, was formed in the eighteenth century as a response to aging.

2025/10/22 (水)
17:00〜18:30
[マクロ経済学セミナー、マクロ経済学・経済システム研究会、ミクロ経済学・ゲーム理論研究会の共催]
What can Measured Beliefs Tell Us About Monetary Non-Neutrality?
Joel Flynn (Yale University)
北館1階N101/N102講義室
2025/10/22 (水)
16:45〜18:15
Distributional Effects with Two-Sided Measurement Error: An Application to Intergenerational Income Mobility
Tong Li (Vanderbilt University)
第一共同研究室(4F 北側)

Distributional Effects with Two-Sided Measurement Error: An Application to Intergenerational Income Mobility∗ (joint with Brantly Callaway, Irina Murtazashvili, Emmanuel S. Tsyawo)

Abstract: This paper considers identification and estimation of distributional effect parameters that depend on the
joint distribution of an outcome and another variable of interest (“treatment”) in a setting with “two-
sided” measurement error — that is, where both variables are possibly measured with error. Examples
of these parameters in the context of intergenerational income mobility include transition matrices, rank-
rank correlations, and the poverty rate of children as a function of their parents’ income, among others.
Building on recent work on quantile regression (QR) with measurement error in the outcome (particu-
larly, Hausman, Liu, Luo, and Palmer (2021)), we show that, given (i) two linear QR models separately
for the outcome and treatment conditional on other observed covariates and (ii) assumptions about the
measurement error for each variable, one can recover the joint distribution of the outcome and the treat-
ment. Besides these conditions, our approach does not require an instrument, repeated measurements,
or distributional assumptions about the measurement error. Using recent data from the 1997 National
Longitudinal Study of Youth, we find that accounting for measurement error notably reduces several
estimates of intergenerational mobility parameters.

2025/10/17 (金)
11:30〜12:30
Sam Jindani (National University of Singapore)
本館1階会議室
2025/10/16 (木)
17:00〜18:30
A Monte Carlo study of optimal investment in leverage products
Marc Oliver Rieger (Trier University)
本館1階会議室
2025/10/16 (木)
10:00〜12:30
Steven Rosefielde (University of North Carolina) 、Satoshi Mizobata (Kyoto University)、Victor Gorshkov (University of Niigata Prefecture)
経済研究所本館 1階 第二共同研究室
2025/10/09 (木)
17:00〜18:30
Multidimensional Screening with Ethical Agents
Bruno Strulovici (Northwestern University)
本館1階会議室
2025/10/08 (水)
16:45〜18:15
Chatterjee's graph correlation
Fang Han (University of Washington)
第一共同研究室(4F 北側)

Abstract: This talk will survey recent advances in understanding Chatterjee’s graph correlation coefficient. I will introduce, for the first time, a comprehensive theoretical framework for statistical inference based on this coefficient. The framework involves results on asymptotic normality, bias correction, and the (in)consistency of bootstrap methods.

2025/10/03 (金)
16:00〜18:15
The general solution to an autoregressive law of motion (joint with Massimo Franchi and Phil Howlett)

Admissible discount factors: a semigroup perspective (joint with John Stachurski)
Brendan K Beare (The University of Sydney)

Ye Lu (The University of Sydney)
第一共同研究室(4F 北側)

Another title: Necessary and sufficient conditions for convergence in distribution of quantile and P-P processes in L1(0,1), (joint with Tetsuya Kaji, Chicago Booth)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.01254

2025/10/02 (木)
17:00〜18:30
Criminal Records (with Giuseppe Dari Mattiacci)
Piero Gottardi (University of Essex)
本館1階会議室

Abstract: We present a dynamic model of the labor market, where workers may commit crimes and employers can gather information about workers’ criminal history from a publicly available record and set wages accordingly. We characterize the socially optimal duration of the record, which balances two conflicting objectives: deter inefficient crimes for workers without a record and keep the share of the population with a record low to reduce recidivism. We also show that, when the social harm from crime is neither too high nor too low, it is optimal to impose finite nonmonetary sanctions followed by a finite criminal-record period.

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