要旨：Until Bengal Province in British India was partitioned in 1947, the region was ruled as British India. This study quantitatively explores the changing population geography in Bengal, with a particular focus on the events of 1947 (Partition of India) and 1971 (Independence of Bangladesh). Based on decadal census data from 1901 to 2001 at the district level, this paper examines how trends in regional population growth evolved with such historical events. Following Redding and Sturm (2008), Differences-in-Differences estimation is also employed here and the events of 1947 and 1971 are taken as the subjects of the test. Estimation results show that there were different shocks on both sides and from both events. In West Bengal, the change in the regional population trends occurred in 1947 and remained similar thereafter. On the other hand, in East Bengal, this did not occur in 1947, but did occur in 1971. Further robustness checks show that the impacts were not uniform with respect to the distance from the border. Overall analyses show that the emergence of the international border in Bengal had asymmetric impacts on both sides of the population geography. The results suggest that changes in the population geography reflect the degree of tensions over the border.

要旨：2011年3月に発生した東日本大震災は、日本に多大なる被害をもたらした。そして、その予想を上回る被害の大きさは、被災地住民に物理的かつ精神的なショックを与えた。こうした大規模な自然災害は、人々の選好、および、意思決定を変化させる可能性があると考えられる。そこで、本研究は出生率に焦点を当て、東日本大震災による人々の意思決定への影響を検証することを目的とする。そのため、市区町村のパネルデータを用いて、Difference-in-Differenceにより、震災前後の出生に関わる意思決定の変化を推定した。その結果、被災地はそうでない地域と比較して出生率が有意に減少したことが分かった。