JP

Events

Category
Date
Title
Presenter/Location
Details
2016/12/15 Thu
16:30〜18:00
Nonparametric Bayes models for mixed-scale longitudinal surveys
國濱 剛(名古屋大学)
第一共同研究室 (4F北側)
2016/12/09 Fri
16:30〜18:00
The Risky Steady State and the Interest Rate Lower Bound -応用マクロ経済学セミナー共催-
仲田泰祐 氏(Federal Reserve Board)
経済研究所北館 N202
2016/12/07 Wed
16:30〜18:00
Testing for Overconfidence Statistically: A Moment Inequality Approach
金燕春 (京都大学経済学研究科)
第一共同研究室 (4F北側)
2016/12/02 Fri
16:30〜18:00
Partition, independence and population geography in Bengal
坪田建明(JETROアジア経済研究所)
京都大学経済研究所本館1階 第二共同研究室
要旨:Until Bengal Province in British India was partitioned in 1947, the region was ruled as British India. This study quantitatively explores the changing population geography in Bengal, with a particular focus on the events of 1947 (Partition of India) and 1971 (Independence of Bangladesh). Based on decadal census data from 1901 to 2001 at the district level, this paper examines how trends in regional population growth evolved with such historical events. Following Redding and Sturm (2008), Differences-in-Differences estimation is also employed here and the events of 1947 and 1971 are taken as the subjects of the test. Estimation results show that there were different shocks on both sides and from both events. In West Bengal, the change in the regional population trends occurred in 1947 and remained similar thereafter. On the other hand, in East Bengal, this did not occur in 1947, but did occur in 1971. Further robustness checks show that the impacts were not uniform with respect to the distance from the border. Overall analyses show that the emergence of the international border in Bengal had asymmetric impacts on both sides of the population geography. The results suggest that changes in the population geography reflect the degree of tensions over the border.
2016/12/02 Fri
15:00〜16:30
東日本大震災における出生率への影響 -市区町村単位の実証分析
芝啓太(大阪大学・院)
京都大学経済研究所本館1階 第二共同研究室
要旨:2011年3月に発生した東日本大震災は、日本に多大なる被害をもたらした。そして、その予想を上回る被害の大きさは、被災地住民に物理的かつ精神的なショックを与えた。こうした大規模な自然災害は、人々の選好、および、意思決定を変化させる可能性があると考えられる。そこで、本研究は出生率に焦点を当て、東日本大震災による人々の意思決定への影響を検証することを目的とする。そのため、市区町村のパネルデータを用いて、Difference-in-Differenceにより、震災前後の出生に関わる意思決定の変化を推定した。その結果、被災地はそうでない地域と比較して出生率が有意に減少したことが分かった。
2016/11/16 Wed
16:30〜18:00
Macroeconomic Forecasting and Variable Selection with a Very Large Number of Predictors: A Penalized Regression Approach
田中 晋矢(小樽商科大学)
第一共同研究室 (4F北側)
2016/11/11 Fri
16:30〜18:00
On Interest Rate Policy and Asset Bubbles -応用マクロ経済学セミナー共催-
Gadi Barlevy 氏(Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)
経済研究所北館 N202
2016/11/04 Fri
16:30〜18:00
A nonparametric conjoint and welfare analysis of working conditions: Application to Japanese labor market
川田恵介(広島大学)
京都大学経済研究所本館1階 第二共同研究室
要旨:This paper proposes a new approach to estimate willingness-to-pay (WTP) for each attribute of alternatives. Our approach is based on a new conjoint-survey experiment design (Hainmueller, et., al. 2013) and empirical welfare-analysis (Bhattacharya 2015), which allows us to nonparametrically estimate the distribution of WTP without strong assumptions on individual preference. Moreover, if the utility is assumed as the quasi-linear form, the lower and upper bounds of the average WTP can be estimated with limited sample size. We illustrate our approach with the conjoint-survey data on Japanese young workers. Our estimation results show that they have higher WTP for working location, promotion opportunity, transfer, and over-time workings than other attributes.
2016/11/04 Fri
15:00〜16:30
集積の経済・生産性と品質改善
齋藤久光(北海道大学)
京都大学経済研究所本館1階 第二共同研究室
要旨:Analysis of the urban agglomeration of economic activity has focused on its benefits for firm productivity. But the marginal-cost savings which agglomeration brings about also free up inputs that can be used to produce higher-quality goods, with their own profitability potential. We use plant-product-level data from Japanese manufacturing to examine agglomeration’s influences on product quality. Results confirm that quality does grow with regional market size, suggesting polices aimed at encouraging urban agglomeration improve competitiveness by raising product quality as well as productivity. Total factor productivity alone, therefore, underestimates agglomeration benefits by ignoring the quality incentives that accompany it.
2016/10/28 Fri
14:45〜18:00
Financial Vulnerability and Monetary Policy、Financial Cycles with Heterogeneous Intermediaries -応用マクロ経済学セミナー共催-
Fernando Duarte 氏(Federal Reserve Bank of New York)、Helene Rey 氏(London Business School)
経済研究所北館 N202
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